Wednesday, 30 November 2016

The PlayBook: An Inside Look at How to Think Like a Professional Trader

Mike Bellafiore impressed me a lot with his "One Good Trade". As such, I am very much looking forward to this book...

At the end... I love it so much...  This playbook deserved traders' attention regardless of the method and concept they practice. As previous book on "One Good Trade" was quite good; surprisingly, this book is better...

I enjoy reading this book despite the fact that it is a real thick book! This time around, the author brings us to more of the latest version of SMB Capital. The author had some issues with the death of his mother. At the same time, some top traders left the firm to join competitors. As such, the author needs to reinforce and by then, "the playbook" came into play in his firm. As what many said... pressure creates diamonds... the author showed us how to create diamonds out of it. Thumbs up!

While "One Good Trade" focused on trading as whole, this book digs deep into details set up as well as trade management. The author emphasizes trade review and I think it helps to shape up traders' mind even for non-intraday trader like me. End of the day, as the title mentioned, it is about "an inside look at how to think like a professional trader". Well, objective met!

The only flaw perhaps lies with the fact that this book is not suitable for beginner or novices. Advance traders (regardless of technical or fundamental traders) will understand the insight and substance being an intraday trader thanks to the hard work by the author. For advance traders, they will have no problem in understand every single part of the book. For beginners and novice, it is hard to digest especially when the author does not explain in details into each set up and review.

For a full rating of 10, I personally rate it at 10/10. As I mentioned above, this book is so much better compares to "One Good Trade". Overall, this is a book that was well written (easy to understand) and very entertaining.

Lastly, listed below are some nice quotes from the book:

Trading is a sport of survival, reinvention, and perseverance even for the succesful trader.

Flipping from indicator to indicator or from different time frame to different time frame as your solution to under-performance is a path to trading failure.

Most traders overvalue the importance of the trading day - their trading. The least important part of your trading day is your actual trading. The work you do after to improve and prepare for future trading opportunities is most important.

A passive-buy algorithm (algo) buys some at a whole bunch of different prices without aggressively paying the offer and stepping higher to fill an order.

Trading can be one step forward and then two steps backward. Then a few steps forward. There is never going to be a time when you are not going to run into a wall of progress impeded.

You are not as bad as you think when you feel you cannot make money. You are not as good as you think when you believe you will never have another losing day.

Do not concern yourself with how anyone else is doing. Ever. The bank takes your trading check. It is does not cash your trading partner's. This is a journey about your trading. Do not worry about anyone else, or anyone else's trades.

The experience of low satisfaction or low contentedness in life is associated with impulsive behavior that is an attempt to grab a reward. The remedy with this approach is to teach the trader specific ways to increase the experience of gratitude in their life to counteract the need for immediate gratification.

Most professional traders and poker players lose a majority of the time, but they allow their profitable trades and hands to outweigh the losers. They enjoy taking small losses and understand that it's just part of the game.

You should not come to the show before sorting out your psychological baggage. You cannot trade well with this mind baggage.

I changed my self image from a rookie soldier to a fisherman. To the fisherman, the ocean is a place he respects but also a huge resource he can use. Certainly he knows the ocean is dangerous. So he prepares each trip carefully. But he loves the ocean. He knows what to do when the fish come. From then on, trading became an interesting, challenging and fun game for me.

Trading is kind of like playing tennis and badminton. The player has to quickly move to a neutral (centered) positions after each strike.

Don't make the trade too complicated. It is either going to work or it is not.

If you are not taking on enough risk with your trading, then you are taking on too much risk.

The new field of positive psychology clearly shows the link between happiness and improved performance. Happiness comes first then followed by success. 

Successful traders have meaningful attachments or some other source of motivation and happiness outside of the financial markets. 

High frequency traders often have access to your stop orders because of their agreements with the exchanges. Sometimes it will be better to set an alert where you will exit and just manually close your position. We do this so that the HFTs do not just run our stops for profit and leave us flat a terrific risk/ reward opportunity.

You are always entering when the momentum is on your side. And a lot of people think that in trading you have to enter at the lowest entry to make the most amount of money, and that is not necessary true. It is very difficult to pick the bottom of a trade without getting stopped out. 

You have to stop missing the opportunities in your best setups. With the advance of technology, you have no excuse to miss your best trading opportunities. This is a performance game. Either your maximize your take from the setups that make the most sense to you or at best you under-perform and at worse are eliminated by Mother Market.  

Monday, 14 November 2016

舍得让你爱的人受苦

华语首席身心灵畅销作者张德芬时隔两年后的最新力作。。。怎能错过呢?这类书籍,我一向来不推崇。(不想中毒太深,呵呵)但是,三年前读过张老师的【活出全新的自己】【遇见未知的自己】;影响其实挺深刻的。总觉得,这类书籍不需要常常阅读。但是,能够在充满酸甜苦辣的人生中,偶尔看一看,效果是不错的。

结果,比起上两本,这一本太好了。可能张老师的写作能力越来越强了。可能刚好这本书触动了许多我一直不敢去触碰的脆弱自我。也可能这本书来的刚刚好(最近有点迷失自己了,呵呵)。。。简单来说,这本书我读得很开心。读完过后,就像上了一班很棒的心灵课程。整个人瞬间轻松了许多。

以下的经典语录就足以证明张老师写的多用心:

担心爱人变心是最不划算的投资。有那时间,精力,不如花在自己身上-心灵成长。毕竟没人会喜欢受害者心态的弃妇。而健康,快乐,有智慧的人却到处受欢迎。

夫妻之间有冲突一定是双方都坚持自己的立场不肯改变,而且还想要对方先改,所以是无解的。

我们不能看爱人受苦,不是单纯因为爱他们,而是因为无法忍受自己内在的那种焦心,楸心的担忧和心疼。我们自己的脆弱,使得我们无法承受内在的情绪冲突。这时候,你可以带着内心对他们最大的爱意,接受自己内在情绪的起伏波动,在他们身边为他们加油打气(而不是亲自去帮他们扫除障碍,或是陪着他们一起愁烦),帮组他们靠自己的力量去度过难关。这样一来,你们两个人就一起成长了。

“期望”是说如果得不到,我就会失望,伤心,难过。而“希望”是说,我希望你能这样,但是如果你做不到,我也还是肯OK。如果我们只有希望,没有期望,日子会过得很好。

你为对方带来了什么?这些年来你有没有成长?还是拿婚姻的保障,感情的基础作为老本?

如果我们不能跟内在的不舒服相处的话,我们会不断的想去改变外在的人,事,物,那这样你就无法找回自己内在的力量,甚至还会失去自己内在的力量。真正的内在力量,就是你拥有力量去把各种“应该”“不应该”的要求全部收回来,然后跟内在不舒服的感受和平共处。

我们可以振振有词的批评别人,但是别忘了,他的特质,习惯,态度,做事方式,如果惹毛了你的话,很抱歉,你身上一定有和这些一样的特质在呼应着。

如果你要求事情在特定的时间以特定的方式呈现,而对最糟糕的结果有抗拒和恐惧的话,你就没有真正的放下。

小孩自小如果没有自治权,将来如果有机会获得自治权,叛逆起来可是不得了。只可惜他们是人到中年以后才开始叛逆,这个时候,他们的父母可能早就过世了,他们的叛逆对象可能就是他们的事业或是配偶。

一个没有学会说“不”的孩子从小就不断受到父母的“侵犯”,没有为自己划定界限的能力。所以,很自然的,长大以后,他们在外面的世界也不懂得为自己划定界限,不会说“不”,而不断的遭受别人“侵犯”。

很多时候,我们教育孩子其实不是为了他们,而是为了我们自己。我的孩子如果没有教养,我回丢人。如果我的孩子学习很差,我也会没面子。这是为了满足自己的某种期望和需求。但孩子的学习成绩难道比他的快乐还重要吗?

我们去骂,责怪别人,要比自己承担情绪的责任容易的多。可是,如果你真心想要成长,就必须对自己狠一点。用一段时间来练习把情绪的责任都揽在自己身上。

想要拾回童心,我们就要先找回自己内在的小孩,修复他的创伤,学会自己疼爱他,而不是等待那个永远不会出现的完美父母来圆满他的人生(很多时候,我们都误以为亲密伴侣就是我们等待了一生的完美父母,可惜,最后希望还是落空)。

你一定要拿出最大的包容和耐心,接纳自己一切的不完美。

真正的快乐来自于自发性的,没有预设结果的行动。

面对痛苦,经历痛苦才是最好的修行,没有一劳永逸的离苦方法。只有透过受苦,我们打受苦“预防针”,加强自己受苦的能力,下次痛苦再来的时候,我们才有能力承受,并愿意和它共处,不再逃避。

当炮弹朝你飞来的时候,如果你转身就跑,你会被炸到;如果飞速的朝着炮弹的来处奔去,你会发现炮弹从你的头顶掠过,远远的落在了后方。


10分满分,我会毫不犹豫给足满分。如以上我所说,这类书籍偶然看一下,效果肯定非常好。这一轮,恰巧心灵上挺需要这本书的。因此,对的时间,阅读对的书籍,效果肯定是最好的。最后,个人非常推荐这本书。它不是一般的心灵建设书籍。它打开的不只是我们的周边世界,更打开了那个永远看不到的自己。赞,赞,赞!

Saturday, 5 November 2016

期货兵法

订阅上一本《华尔街幽灵》时,为了更完善的利用折扣券,于是选了这本《期货兵法》。近年来,不得不承认中国这类书籍开始引起了我的注意。总觉得中国投机界神速的进步不得不让我这类小投机者也开始着迷于他们的一切。好吧,试一试这本书籍,希望是我要的那杯茶!

结果。。。好坏参半。。。这本书大致上可以细分为两大部分。前半部,这本书主要探讨着期货各种法则和兵法。排兵布阵的确恰到好处。如果这本书出现在每个期货市场刚刚开始时,那这本书绝对堪称期货秘笈。当然,在当今成熟的期货市场中(高频正在兴风作浪的搞乱一切程序),这些兵法虽然管用,但肯定效率大大折扣。

因此,作者在这个修订版又增添了我所谓的后半部。这后半部主要又细分为“再读期货兵法篇-四年后的再思考”和“杂谈篇”。(最后一章“对话篇”我就不多谈。因为此“对话篇”整个网上都有)对于我来说,“再读期货兵法篇-四年后的再思考”才是本书在现今高频期货市场中所需要的一切兵法。这一部分很老实的探讨了四年前的兵法。期货玩家肯定会对这一部分产生共鸣。至于“杂谈篇”,本人就不敢恭维。感觉上就是有点牛头不对马嘴似的。简单来说,“杂谈篇”跟所谓的“兵法”真的离题了。。。

满分10分,个人给予7分。整体上,这本书真的不错。作者肯定是根据期货市场轰轰烈烈的博弈中而拟写出这本书籍。单单这一点就值得读者捧场。只不过,后面的“杂谈篇”就真的是多此一举。感觉上,真的破坏了一本好书。

以下是个人非常赞同的一些兵法。里头有四年前的兵法,更包括四年后的“领悟”。赞!

“抄底”的人根本没有意识到这是小概率事件,自己是以极大的风险来博取极小的成功概率。

震荡和趋势可以量化定义吗?趋势里面有震荡,震荡里面亦有趋势。

“价格发现”,“套取保值”在期货市场都扮演着某种角色。但都不是市场本质功能。市场本质功能是“财富分配”。

资金三维增值模型:线性增长模型(例如20万维风险基准配置资金。如果盈利了5万,则可承受资金的风险为25万)最终取得最高回报,最大资金使用率和最低风险。

震荡和趋势是区分不清楚的,主观判断什么是震荡,什么是趋势有很大的不确定性。

期货行情变化快,如果没有事先持仓,很容易错过。

市场出现巨大方向行情的是后,并不能简单止损,而是通过迁仓,对冲,补仓的形式来处理。

多年来,无论手上的单子仓位多重,我还是养成了晚上不看外盘的习惯。生活,不是只有交易。

当我们讨论头寸管理的时候,应该有一个前提:首先系统应该是一个正向盈利的系统。

当短线交易者自己参与交易的前越来越多的时候,他的资金进出会和其他有限资金的互动和博弈中造成当下价格的变动,也就是说他自己变成了当下不合理价格的制造者,也就成了其他短线交易者的利润来源。因此,短线交易者的资金量大到一定程度后,就无法实现全复利增长了。

不管是做人,做事,做期货,腹中满了,就填不进东西了;腹中长空,才能持续的填东西进去。发现空了,就想办法去填,满了再空,再填满,满了又空,在填满。。。由此可以实现自我的持续强大。

如果说“稳定”盈利是一个骗局,那么“稳健”盈利则是一种可能。一年能盈利多少是确定不来的。但是一年最多允许亏损多少在亏损之前是定的下来的。让亏损多少自己说了算,让盈利多少市场说了算。

对每一个交易者来说,应该每一天都回到起点。最好是每下一笔单子,每平一笔单子之后,都回到起点。

一个比较好的系统,适当的赚钱,不影响市场的正常运作,市场Shiite允许它存在的。而如果这个系统疯狂的赚钱,市场便容不下它,会让它失效。