Friday, 4 October 2019

Phantom of the Pits

Finally.... I found the English version of this book. Three years ago, I read the Chinese version. I was so impressed with it. Yet, I found it hard to find the original version be it at Amazon, Kindle and anywhere. Finally, a friend of mine sends this ebook to me. Thank you so much, mate. You are the man always.

This time around, I found it better. First of all, it is due to the original language and no flaws on the translation. Those technical items are surely easier to understand compares to the Chinese version. Secondly, I felt it smooth while reading this version. Having said that, the Chinese version actually did remarkably well in terms of translation. However, readers will definitely prefer the original version. This is the power being a Malaysian since we are trilingual in nature.

As times goes by... trading world had changed dramatically thanks to the introduction of algorithm and robotic trading over the years. As such, certain point are not so relevant today. For example, we are no more in the situation where slippage easily occurred unless a trader is still a "manual" trader. Secondly, due to the fast moving speed in internet, market trending seems get crowded and as a result, we see shorter trend these days. Hence, what the author mentioned on the day trader's edge over the position traders may not be relevant giving current market situation. Come to think about that... it will be nice if "Phantom of the Pits" can come out with the revised version of this book. Well... provided the so called "Phantom of the Pits" really exist in the first place, LOL!

This time around, I spend quite a lot of time in digesting this book. First of all... since there is no revise version to counter current market's situation, I need to brainstorm the idea of this book in response to the current trend less market. As we all know, market trending is not as great as last time. David Herding mentioned umpteen times that the market is simply overcrowded with trend following method. Hence, this book actually provided some limelight and alternative to the old school trend following style. For a full rating of 10, I am going to rate this book at 9. On the Chinese version, I rated it at 10/10. This time around, I reduced 1 point due to two reasons. Firstly, I found it quite annoying when the book ended with tons of articles by the author (not "Phantom of the Pits") which is not related to trading. Secondly, as I moved into old and bold trader (compares to 3 years ago), this book is not so inspiring. The quotes below tell the whole story. In the Chinese version, I managed to list out tons of quotes. This time around, the quotes selected not so much. Having said that, this book is still one of the best trading books I read. Thumbs up!!!

You must be larger when correct on a position than when your position is wrong. Each add onto the original position should be done in smaller and smaller steps. 

It all depends on your trading plan. One correct way for a day-trader is to see that the position is proven correct and then add at a proper retracement. This will not be the case for trend trader. Trend trader would most likely have at least one add at a breakout or breakaway gap. Your method of adding must be validated by your trade plan. 

Day traders will have problem with Rule 2 unless they position properly and understand that their adds must only be made correctly. Day traders are in for quick profit so it is hard to have a good add plan. Their best trader is to put all positions on at once and use Rule 1 to take them off unless or until proven correct. This is the proper probability in a loser's game like trading.

Trend traders will get larger when they are correct, but day traders will start larger and get smaller when they are wrong. Day traders can be large when they are wrong, but trend traders will never be large when they they are wrong. This is due to the nature of a loser's game for day traders. By reducing your positions when wrong, your exposure is not extreme for a day trader. 

Rule 2 must be used if you expect to make money in long run. Your validation of how you add is according to your trading plan. 

Day trading plan is certainly going to be geared for the quick profit, so why shouldn't you have your biggest position to work with from the start? Right or wrong, you are going to use Rule 1 to protect all cost. 

This is your enemy... to love to be right. You will become the best trader you can be by being wrong small, not right small. 

Most of your trades that don't confirm within a logical time frame are usually going to look bad sooner or later. Why not take the sooner? 

Most traders look to remove their positions just as soon as they prove them right. They forget what their true purpose in trading really is. It is not only to make as much money as possible, but to make it in the least amount of time. 

You could use day traders to your advantage in trading by knowing that they would have to get out by close. 

You expect to be wrong if you are thinking and trading correctly.

Our thinking must become adult in trading. As a child, we often don't need a reason but just the rule. As an adult, to be effective in trading, it is important to know why and not just the rule. 

The most critical time of a trade is immediately after you have just entered the position. This is the time you must be most sensitive to news and events. 

If you using point and figure charts, you can see the 45-degree line of support and resistance. 

Look for a system that back-tests data currently. What I mean by this is that it must be current in the last six month or so. What good is the system if it takes the last 50 years into consideration but not the current six months that reflects current market conditions best. 

Compare both the long term and six month sets of data. If they conflict, you must refine the system somewhat to a better signal generator. If your can't refine it better, then use both set of signals and throw them out when conflict. 

Thursday, 4 July 2019

好睡:新的睡眠科学与医学

睡眠,一直是我四十年来的问题。我相信,它也是很多人的问题。因此,这本书的出现,绝对是我的福音。。。

可惜。。。期望越高,失望还真的高的不得了。我不怪作者,怪就怪在一开始我并没有在书局翻阅。一看到“好睡”这个标题,我就认定这本书一定能帮到我。因此,当我很兴奋的阅读时,才发现这本书完全不是我要的那杯茶。

第一,这本书的原理偏向于心理学上的睡眠治疗法。对于失眠四十年的我来说,这一些理论我早就了如指掌。毕竟,里头的方法我也运用了四十年。第二,作者不断的引入他的其他书籍。感觉上,作者就是要我们买完他的作品才能好好的睡上一觉。 第三,这本书可能对于刚刚患上失眠症的人,的确是有些帮助。但是,对于我这样的失眠佼佼者来说, 这本书简直就是百无一用。

批评了那么多,这本书肯定评价不高。10分满分,基于作用不大,只能勉强给个1分。这一分充其量只能是因为作者帮我复习了一些老方法。具体来说,这本书我想得到和我最后得到的都不多。

Monday, 10 June 2019

终身学习:哈佛毕业后的六堂课

好久没阅读一些学术性的书籍。这本书堪称史丹福和哈佛没有教的必修课。因此,特别吸引了我。

结果是。。。这本书太棒了!棒在那里?第一,这本书的学术性太高了。读完整本书后,老实说,真的获益不浅。诚如书的主题所说,这本书的确是终身学习的一个主题。里头概括了所有人生必备的一些工具。如果能够运用一半以上,我相信人生会走的更顺畅。

第二,作者本身堪称是个成功的生意人。我感到好奇的是。。。作者哪来那么多时间上那么多课程。我也是生意人。我还是个不成功的生意人。但,一个不成功的生意人都腾不出时间来上课,黄总却能在那么短的时间上了那么多课程。佩服,佩服还是佩服!或许,是时候放下一些来换取另一些吧。。。

第三,这本书脱离了一般学术性质的本质。如果主题让你觉得很压力,那就大错特错了。这本书写的很轻松。读者应该会很轻松的了解作者想要表达的意义。学术性有,但又不大伤脑筋!这类书籍怎能不吸引读者呢?

再好的书总有些缺陷。这本书,个人觉得太多学习过程了。书的主题是终身学习。因此,作者很贪心的把整个人生需要概括的学习过程都写进去了。我个人认为要啃完这本书的确需要花上些时间。虽然大致上轻松,但免不了要用上一点脑筋去思考。因此,如果这本书分成两个段若或者两本不同的上下集,我觉得会更好。

10分满分,这本书我给于9分。整体上,这本书很值得推荐。第一,如果把它当作是新的学习知识,这本书绝对称职。第二,就算有些知识你和我都很熟悉,这本书还是能够启到加深知识和复习的作用。

最后,有些语录还是值得记录的。黄总整本书的经典语录的确让我获益不少。

哈尔埃尔罗德总结出一套“早晨程序”,包括运动,阅读,感恩,冥想和定目标等。他还指出,也许你觉得每天早晨花一个小时很奢侈,但当你做了之后就会发现,这一个小时可以让你之后的十五个小时获得最高效率的最好方法。

当你知道自己处于某种情绪时,你会让自己停留多久?情商的意义是如何管理自己的情绪,尽量缩短极端情绪持续的时间。这里不单单指负面情绪。因为无论那种极端情绪,维持太久的时间都是不好的。人需要在大多数情况下处于不悲不喜。因为这种感觉对身体是最好的。

所有的情绪和反应都是你自己产生的。所以,当外部世界朝你轰叫时,你不需要有任何情绪反应。如果有的话,就观察它。观察它的来,观察它的去。

影响力原则:
1. 互惠性原则
2. 稀有性原则
3. 权威性原则
4. 一致性原则: 个人的言语和行为一致
5. 社会认同原则
6. 相似性原则:建立私人关系,抓住共同点,给对方一些真诚的赞许

一群聪明人未必能够达到共识。在没有制度的前提下,我说我的,各做各的。在一个社群建立的初期,真的需要一个领袖人物。

社群能否成功建立,其实和大家聪明不聪明没有必然关系。重点是制度和领袖。

我无法控制别人的想法,我只能更勇气的面对自己,对自己说的话和做的事负责。

人生幸福来自六个需求的满足:
1。人生的确定性:虽然人生充满变数,但人需要有确定性。
2. 人生的不确定性:每天重复同样的日子,会非常无趣。所以,生活也需要一些不确定性。
3. 个体的重要性:知道自己的价值。
4. 连接与爱
5. 成长
6. 贡献

我对压力和担忧从新定义:我要积极做好我所能做的事,也要认识到意外产生的必然性。既然意外是不可避免的,坦然面对,积极处理,其实这何尝不是提升我个人能力的一种方式呢?

如果付出有个前提,想得到什么,那当然会不开心。如果付出只是为了帮助别人,自我提升,那内心的满足也会源自于此。

如果没有找到符合自己需求的组织,那么就建立一个属于自己的“大头脑”。

一家成功的企业具备七个要数:
1. 优秀的企业文化。
2. 前瞻性的战略。
3. 不断的创新。
4. 做好市场推广。
5. 建立好的销售系统。
6. 完善法律和财务体系。
7. 不断改进和优化。

不是每个公司都需要做大。当风投想给你一笔资金,伴随而来的也有很多的不确定性,也就和你的基本需求背道而驰了。

当一间公司运作的非常好,从某种程度来说,他就应该把个人和公司之间进行一次分离。这时候,他会同时具备两种身份,一个是“事业执行者”,另一个是“事业拥有者”。作为前者,他是公司的一名员工,为公司创造价值;作为后者,他拥有属于自己的部分。

如果我们想有更长远的追求,想要获得进步,我们首先需要认识到自己的舒适区及其边界,然后能够打破它,扩大我们的活动范围,逼近我们的极限。