Monday, 7 March 2016

Trading Psychology 2.0: From Best Practices to Best Processes

After mentality pressure by reading the previous book, this book by my idol Brett N. Steenbarger came at the right time. Yup, I need some psychology stuff, LOL.

This book is really special. It is not only a book purely about trading. The author quoted lots of daily real life examples instead of focus only on trading matters. After all, psychology applies to all sorts of matters in life. Trading is only part of our part time job... bearing the same weight as being a father, a son, a teacher and whatever roles we play throughout our entire life. Leading our life remains our main job...

On top of this, the problems highlighted throughout the book are so real that I truly believe he wrote what he did in real life with traders. Amazingly, few of my puzzles resolved by reading this book. In fact, those puzzles had disturbed my mind all the time before this.

On the four topics discussed, I think the author did so well by highlighted the necessary psychology process to be not only a good trader, but a healthy trader too. I personally benefited a lot especially on "building on strength". From there, I finally realized that I lost a bit of passionate that I build on since day one. In fact, those passionate are so important to build myself towards a better trader, as well as a better person. Right now, I regain what I lost thanks to this book!

However, I am not 100% agreed with the author in all topics. For instance, I do not quite align with this thinking: "When market becomes crowded and price becomes choppy, the style may become shorter-term and opportunistic. When positioning has cleared out and new development are on the horizon, the trading may become longer term and more thematic." This statement alone is too "predictive" to reactive trader like me. After so many years, I still think I am not smart enough to predict any possible outcome. As such, I always distance myself from making projections. To me, dumb player like me are better when react to situation.

Secondly, the author actually suggests to social more within traders: "We can think of networking as a group based solution focused intervention. Imagine a group of talented traders, each sharing best practices." I did this since day one. Ended up, those who wanted to share are not the real experts. Those who willing to share are looking to dig other peoples' stuff instead of sharing. So, to use networking as a group based solution is not really my cup of tea. Perhaps, I had not met the right person...I think the author agreed with my view to certain extends: "When you experience a degree of success in markets, suddenly you find yourself with people wanting to be your friends. They are painfully one sided - all taking, not giving. This is particularly problematic if you're active in social media. Without filters, it's easy to become swamped with unfruitful and unfulfilling correspondence... We can proactively create our environments to maximize experiences of well-being... If you aspire to be all that you can be, you cannot be all things to all people and engage equally in all things. Find the people and activities that inspire you and bring out the best in you and filter the rest."

Overall, this is still one of the best books behind "The Psychology of Trading". Although I may not agree 100%, but I still rate highly this book. As such, I have no hesitation to rate this book at 10/10. This is another excellent book by the author and I will definitely reread this book again in the future. Last but not least, there are plenty of great quotes from this book as below (which I think every trader needs to read it again and again):

When we are focused on the problems and overwhelmed by them, we typically fail to appreciate the fact that there are numerous occasions in which the problems don't play out. It's what we are doing when problems don't occur that can point the way out.

Successful market participants rarely excel in both slow and fast thinking, but they almost excel in one or the other. In a purely cognitive sense, they play to their strengths.

There is something to be learned from every trade outcome - good or bad. No trade is a complete loss if it can be a learning experiences. An additional benefit to the embracing of loss: It turns trade review into a habit, and that in turn makes adaption a continuous routine. Flexibility had become our routine.

Discipline is great for doing more of what works. When the status quo no longer works, however, adaptability becomes the new discipline.

Indeed, by emphasizing a victim mindset - bad things happen to me - such thinking systematically dis-empowers a trader. If you are the victim of bad luck, bad markets, and bad trading, how can you become the author of your own turnaround story? One of the habit patterns most important to cultivate as a trader is the ability to lose in a way that gives you energy, rather than robs you of initiative.

At times, I've also had traders voice their thinking into recorder and then listen to themselves rant. As a listener, the traders can see that what they are saying is not helpful, which helps halt the process. It is not enough, however, to halt the negative thinking. We need positive habit patterns that shift negative thinking into constructive actions.

Perfectionism drains energy. It does not inspire performance; it turns inspired performance into something "not good enough". The idea of small wins means that your focus should not be on perfection., but an improvement.

The traders I've known who have sustained long-term success have always been driven by something beyond immediate excitement and profitability. Very often, those drivers have reflected core strengths and interests that provide energy, even when markets are not paying out.

Successful trading has to fit into your life, not the reverse. We don't have to have all of our needs met through our trading, but we cannot allow our trading to frustrate our most fundamental needs and strengths.

I've often joked that many talented traders are "worriers" and "warriors"; they take risk, but keep themselves clear of overconfidence biases by continually preparing for adverse outcomes. Negative emotional experience can be very useful in managing trading risks.

Happiness is a habit, not a random emotional event befalling us. Pay particular attention to the activities before, after. and during your trading day that energize your performance. We are least likely to fall into bad habits and behave impulsively if we are operating at a high level of energy and well-being.

It is not enough to master stress; we must sustain life passion if we're to energize our trading. Had our work been problem-focused - analyzing past conflicts, tracking his self-defeating behaviors and thoughts - we would have never re-insulated his house. He had to rediscover his happiness before he could rediscover his trading.

While most of us are not mired in depression and burnout, we also do not experience passionate interest and love for life on a regular basis. Most of daily experience is spent in routine, which is efficient in the short run but de-energizing in the long run. We bring our energy leaks to the trade station, falling short in our trading.

When we derive energy, affection, happiness and satisfaction from activities outside the markets, we don't have to overtrade markets to manufacture good feelings. Many times, the answer to our market problems is cultivating the positives from our nontrading lives.

Our connections to others are powerful buffer to trading stress.

Gratitude leads us to become better at retrieving positive information, because it naturally turns our attention to positive aspects of life.

It is often when we feel best about our trading that we fall prey to overconfidence biases, confirmation biases, and illusions of control. Without mindfulness, we are just likely to be swayed by positive emotions as negative ones.

The result of incubation is a kind of "aha!" experience. Perhaps because we have been open minded mode during the incubation period, creative insight feels as though it comes to us; we do not make it happen.

Experience does not necessarily lead to expertise; we don't necessary trade better if we trade more. The successful one spend more time generating trading ideas than in actual trading.

Creativity is not a talent that one is either born or without. Rather, creativity occurs at the intersection of focused immersion in field; deep experience and expertise in that field; and the cognitive flexibility to perceive one's field from different perspectives. Creativity follows passion.

Traders at prop firms and hedge funds can handle losing money reasonably well when others around them are also struggling with performance. If they are losing money while others are minting coin, however, the situation becomes intolerable. 

Many trading problems - and emotional problems related to trading - are a function of one person needing to do too many things to run a trading business well. 

A common mistake trades make is to respond to difficulties in markets by working harder, spending more time on trading, and hoping that sheer effort will arrest their drawdowns. If, however, we double down on activities that are not providing us with positives, we can quickly become overwhelmed. That means we work smarter, not harder. 

We can't win the game if we can't stay in the game.

Market uncertainty is like weather in that there will always be people speculating. Unless there is a drastic occurrence you have to be optimistic and know that rainy days are followed by sunshine. Always. 

You have to have confidence in the few, essential components of your success to lean on those exclusively. Too often, when we seek the crutches of things to add to our strategies, it's because we lack confidence in those strategies.

The flush times will be followed by lean times and the lean times can become prosperous once more. That can't happen, however, if you don't save the money from the flush times to finance the times of relearning and adaption. Too often, once-successful traders become former traders because they can't finance their new learning curves. 

Wednesday, 17 February 2016

Jesse Livermore: World's Greatest Stock Trader

Due to hectic schedule for the past 2 months, I actually run out of books to read on my shelf. At the end, I decided that time is just right to visit some of the old books that I read 10 years ago. So, here I am with this "old" book... In fact, I am pretty exciting to revisit these old books. After all, time changes and I may not rate it as high as I rated it 10 years ago.

Ended up... amazing... this is still one of my favorite books behind "Reminisces of Stock Operator". The only differences perhaps lies with the facts that I started to find little and little inspiration compares to the moment I read it 10 years back (perhaps more than 10 years ago...). Those days, I remembered the appendix on "Livermore's Laws and Trading Secrets Revealed" was very much appealing to me. This time around, I actually take a glance and flip through this topic with little interest...

On the pro side... this book refreshed tons of sweet and bitter memories on my personal journey. I started to appreciate what I had gone though. This book came at the right time since I started to forget one principle that I hold since day one ~~~ "Success is just as hard to deal with as failure." Yup... this book reminds me that: "It was not that he could not deal with failure - he had been dealing with failures all his life - what he could not deal with was success." 

Apart from the above mentioned, this book is still an excellent book to explore after so many years. Inspiration although less, but I still manage to fork out few excellent quotes from the book:

Livermore noticed that the novices never asked the simple questions:
- Why have u chosen me to receive this priceless advice?
- If you have this information, then why aren't you rich? 
- What is driving you to give me this advice to buy a stock? Are you secretly selling it to me at higher and higher price?
- If capital gains are easy to make, then why are you only interested in your commissions? 

Livermore always silent about his trades. If he had won, well, then he had done the right thing. If he lost, he had done the wrong thing. Why complain? Why explain? 

There were some things that he could not predict, and therefore he could not guard against them. He could only react. Livermore also was convinced that there was no one powerful enough to control or fix a market for long. 

Livermore loved the fact that in trading the market there was no end to the learning process. He had learned this lesson the hard way, and that was why he never considered himself a market master. He always considered himself a market student who occasionally traded correctly. 

Only speculate if you can make it a full time job. Don't take any tips. Don't worry about catching tops or bottoms, that's fool's play. Keep the number of stocks you own to a controllable number.

The tape is the best means of getting tips spread.

It's not the thinking that makes the money - it's the sitting and waiting that makes the money.

The market often moves contrary to apparent common sense and world events, as if it had a mind of its own. Remember, it is designed to fool most of the people most of the time. Eventually, the truth of why it moved as it did will emerge. 

One of the problems with looking too deeply into economic news is that it may plant suggestions in your mind, and suggestions can be dangerous to your emotional stock market health. 

The words bull and bear cause a trader to get a fixed mind-set. And there is a good chance the speculator will blindly follow that trend of direction, even if the facts change. 

I firmly believe that there are always clues as to what is going to come next. The clues are buried in the bahavior of the market - what the market actually does, the here and now -not what is predicted that it will do.

Always remember; you can win a horse, but you can't beat the races. You can win a stock, but you cannot beat Wall Street all the time. Nobody can.

I never thought my instincts were that special. In fact, I consider farmers to be the biggest gamblers in the world. Planting their crops, gambling on the price, choosing the right crop, gambling on weather and insects, the unpredictable demand - what could be more speculative? So after twenty, thirty, forty years of growing, a person naturally develops a sixth sense, an intuition, experience-based hunches about the business. I consider myself no different.  

Reading this book is like reading an amazing journey by a genius. (a myth perhaps...) However, the ending part is really sad. 10 years back, I will blame the tragedy on the depression and family chaotic issues. Right now, I think the fact that speculation can bring huge success (monetary as well as status and the proud of being a speculator) indirectly causing the depression and unmanageable life style. Like I mentioned above, "Success is just as hard to deal with as failure"... every speculators with tons of experiences will realize what it means... However, it is always right to focus on the failing part. After all, it is so much easier to avoid failure than to copy various ways of successes. Having said that, this book (as well as "Reminiscence of Stock Operators") required right mentality to digest the whole story. It may bring a lot of wisdom. But, it may bring a lot of puzzles too...

Ten years back, I rated this book at 10/10. Despite the above-mentioned flaws, I still rate this book at 10/10. Inspiration getting less... but, I benefited by triggering a lot of food for thought throughout the whole book. Excellent story... no doubt!!!

Monday, 18 January 2016

Crossroads: A Popular History of Malaysia and Singapore

"Crossroads"... my first book in year 2016...

As usual... too busy to flip through when I bought this book. At the end, it does not meet my personal expectation. First of all... although the title stated that it is a book about history of Malaysia and Singapore; I expect more coverage on the modern history of both countries. At the end, the author focuses more on the olden days from 2500 BC forward to 2008. Well, it was my mistake for not flipping through in the first place.

The ironic part... I ended up enjoy more on the earlier part of the history. Initially, I thought I would not. But, the attractive part of refreshing old memories is so nice. After all, those are the histories that I read in primary and secondary school. So, I lost in touch with those amazing facts for so long. On the other part... the modern history is too familiar and too new to me. So, I actually lost interest at the end of this book.

One good point about this book is the author did brilliantly with his thoughts and views. This is mostly due to the fact that the author had spent most of his life living and working in Singapore. Hence, from the perspective of history references, this book qualify as one of the best book for those who are unfamiliar with the history in Malay Peninsula.

For a full rating of 10, I am rating it at 5/10. This book is actually an excellent write up. However, it just does not fulfill my personal taste and the objective I expect to gain from reading this book.